„Ukraine vs. Russland: … Wie wird der Westen reagieren? Die Spieltheorie unterucht die strategischen Möglichkeiten der beteiligten Pateien und leitet eine Lösung mittels der Teilspielperfektheit her.“
Putins Ukraine-Krieg: Lag die Spieltheorie falsch?
„188.781 Aufrufe
26.02.2022
11.896“
„Prof. Dr. Christian Rieck
218.000 Abonnenten
Russland beginnt einen Angriffskrieg gegen die Ukraine – entgegen meiner Vorhersage aufgrund der Spieltheorie. War das Modell falsch? Ist Putin irrational? Wie geht es jetzt weiter?“
„Dass es bei mir einfach Wunschdenken war. Es kann sein, dass ich einfach in
einer Zeit groß geworden bin, in der man sozusagen solange in Frieden gelebt hat,
dass man sich gar nichts anderes mehr vorstellen kann, sich gar nicht vorstellen kann,
dass es wirklich einfach einen ganz platten Aggressor gibt, der einfach Morde
begeht… nur um selbst einen persönlichen Vorteil zu haben.“
„Also er glaubt bisher, im jetzigen Stadium, er hätte einen tollen
Schachzug begangen, er glaubt er hätte alle mit dem Strategem 1b, wie ich das
immer sage: Verstecke dich im hellen Licht. Hätte er die ganze Welt über den Tisch
gezogen und er hat aber in Wahrheit schon längst sein Grab geschaufelt und
ist sozusagen ein Zombie, ein lebender toter, der noch nicht weiß, dass er in den
nächsten Jahren komplett tot sein wird und es spricht einiges dafür, dass das so ist,
denn sie müssen sich vorstellen, wenn Sie jetzt gerade in Russland in der
Wirtschaft etwas zu sagen haben, dann werden Sie wahrscheinlich stinksauer auf Putin sein, denn es sind dort zuersteinmal gerade einfach Milliarden an Börsenbewertung vernichtet
worden, aber das ist ja real, das ist ja deshalb vernichtet worden, weil wir wissen, dass die Zukunftschancen für diejenigen, die in Russland Industrie betreiben, dass
die einfach sehr viel schlechter sind, als sie in der Vergangenheit waren, die
Bevölkerung wird das auch bald merken, dass sie einfach ärmer
werden und zwar wirklich ärmer werden… die werden sich jetzt natürlich nicht offen äußern, aber im Hintergrund daran arbeiten so einen Vollidioten loszuwerden, aus
deren Sicht, und er hat noch etwas anderes gemacht, was für meine Begriffe
sehr sehr ungünstig ist, nämlich er hat sich als Aggressor geoutet, bisher war es
immer noch so, dass man eine glaubwürdige Geschichte erzählen konnte, dass er sich
bedroht fühlt und was weiß ich nicht alles… er ist ganz platt, ein Aggressor.. Sicherheitsbedenken…das war alles Blödsinn…“
„Reporter asks Putin why his political opponents are ‘dead, in prison, or poisoned’“
„1.477.490 Aufrufe
16.06.2021“
„Washington Post
1,92 Mio. Abonnenten
After President Biden’s first face-to-face meeting as president with Russian President Vladimir Putin, ABC News reporter Rachel Scott pushed Putin for an answer as to why his political opponents are “dead, in prison, or poisoned” during a June 16 summit in Geneva.“
„If all of your political opponents are dead, in prison, poisoned, doesn’t that send a message that you do not want a fair political fight?“
„Vladimir Pozner: How the United States Created Vladimir Putin
4.176.056 Aufrufe
02.10.2018“
„I am an independent journalist. And that’s an animal that is disappearing in Russia
and not only in Russia.“
„I’d like to say, first of all, that we are, at an extremely dangerous moment today.
Never have the relations between Russia and the United States with the Soviet Union,
not what it was before, been at this level. During the worst times of the Cold War,
when I was living in the Soviet Union, and I remember all that very, very well.
Russians were anti White House, Anti-Wall Street, but not Anti-American, in their vast majority.
In fact, there was a kind of a warm feeling, these are the Americans.
Today that’s different. Today it’s Anti-American at the grassroots level.
And there’s a reason for it. Another thing that is, to me scary is that neither side seems to be afraid
of nuclear weapons. 30 years ago, those of you who are of my age
certainly remember an American movie called „The Day After,“
which is about what happens to you and to your country
after a nuclear strike.
There was fear of these weapons
as there was in the Soviet Union, there was a realization
that these weapons can and if used will destroy our country.
Today, there’s a feeling when you talk to people,
it’s as if there are no nuclear weapons.
It really doesn’t seem to play a role in how we act.
And the danger of a not a deliberate nuclear exchange,
but an accidental one has grown because the level of mistrust between the two countries has grown as well.
There have been several times in the past when computers warned of a nuclear attack.
But it never got to the real thing, because people took the time to really check it out.
Now, they didn’t have a long time. If an ICBM is launched from Russia, it will take about 10 minutes for it to hit the U.S. So you know, and vice versa obviously. So you don’t have a long time but you do have some.
But my feeling is that if today those same computers malfunction and it’s on either side,
that an attack has been launched, the response would be immediate.
…
And in such a really short period of time,
how did this happen?
Why are we at the point that we are today?
And I’m not saying who’s to blame..“
„And let me say, just for the record, Russia never in its entire thousand years,
never had democracy, completely absent.“
„It later was incorporated in something that was officially called the Bush Doctrine.
That document was leaked to the New York Times.
And so it became public.
And what it basically said, and you can look it up,
it’s available, you know, just go to Wolfowitz Doctrine, and you’ll find it, what it basically said was this.
The United States should never again allow any other country to challenge it.
The United States must remain the superior country.
And we should tell our allies not to worry about developing their own weapons,
because we will do that for them.
And we must watch out for Russia, because we don’t know which way it’s going to go.
The bear might get up on his hind legs again, and growl.“
„Hillary Clinton said that Putin was a former KGB agent and had no soul and compared him to Hitler.“
„So I think that if there is a desire on both sides to change that attitude, it can be done very quickly.
And that’s why I say that we’re manipulated. We are manipulated.
And we all say, well, I’m totally independent. It’s not true, we make our decisions, and we come to certain conclusions because of what we read,because of what we see and because of what we hear.
So, basically, that’s it. I would say that certainly the internet allows us to get a much broader picture.
In fact, we could communicate with the other side via the internet. It’s not happening very much, but it is a little bit.
So that the, how should I put this, the ordinary citizen could do a lot to change what’s happening in both countries,
and it’s a two way street. And I think it’s people like you, that is to say of your age, they’re the ones who for me, are the reason for optimism because you can do this. Whereas people of my age (84) and slightly younger,
can do far less. So I would hope that, you know, what I’ve said today might lead you to look into this.“
„So that’s what I’m saying that we in a strange way corporate censorship is just as effective and sometimes
far more sophisticated than government censorship.“
„How do we stop people from killing each other in situations like that?“
„How can United States and Germany and Russia get together and stop brothers from killing brothers?“
„And, you know, people are killing each other in many places, in Africa, for instance,
brother’s killing brother and so on. And this is going on everywhere. But I would say that if the leaders of Russia, of Ukraine, of the United States, of Germany, were actually asking that question.
That question they were asking. I think they’d find a way to answer it.
But I don’t think they’re asking that question.
I think they’re asking very different questions.
And they have very different aims.
And that’s why this is going on.
So, to me, the answer is pretty obvious.
How you make people do that, that’s a different question.
Why is it that egoistic geopolitical interests take first place over these things.
That’s the real question.“
„Skripal, he was a military agent, right?
He worked for the former GRU, not for the KGB,
Putin work for the KGB, he works for the GRU,
which is military intelligence,
and they can’t stand the KGB,
and the KGB can’t stand their intelligence.
That’s normal competition.
So, and he betrayed his country.
Let’s face it, right.
He went over to the other side and began to work
for British intelligence.
And he was caught, and he was tried.
And he was sentenced to 13 years.
Now, I don’t know if you’re familiar with what happens
to spies, who to turn against their own country,
and are then caught?
Well, in wartime, they’re shot.
But in peacetime, well, it’s usually something
like 30 years, 25, 13 is a weird sentence.
Not only does he get this rather short sentence,
considering, but he’s exchanged for Soviet,
excuse me, Russian spies who were caught.
Now if he was exchanged that means
that he really didn’t know anything at that point.
He was no danger to the Russian side.
So, you know, let him go and we’ll get ours back.
Now, if Putin, Putin doesn’t like traders, who does?
If Putin wanted to kill him, he was in prison, he would do it.
And you could say that he had a heart attack or that he committed suicide or whatever.
He was no problem killing when he was in jail in Russia.
They let him go, they exchanged him, they could have exchanged someone else,
they exchanged him.
What sense would it make to poison this man under those circumstances, I mean logically.
Putin is anything but stupid. Not stupid, it’s very risky.
The risk of somehow this being found out is always there.
Why do it, this is not a dangerous person.
He can’t do anything.
He can talk about what he knows, but it’s over.
So I try to find, I’m not saying he didn’t do it.
I’m saying I’m trying to find some kind of logic,
logic, not emotions, logic as to why Putin would be involved
in something like that.
Alright, it’s not Putin.
It’s one of those lower, you know, one of the GRU
who think that Putin would like it if they did it
But would Putin like it if it was discovered?
No, of course not, they get their head chopped down.
So why would they risk it?
They’re not gonna get decorations for doing it.
Because if Putin had ordered it, then yes.
So why would they do it?
So to me, it really remains a mystery.
Because it’s stupid, it’s counterproductive.
It doesn’t do anything positive at all.
So am I denying anything?
I’m not denying, I’m saying give me proof.
Please, just show me, yes, there it is.
Now this interview, did you see it?
The interview of Rita, what’s her name?
Sonya, of those two two people.“
„Who is that man in Dresden?
MASHA GESSEN – Well, he’s an unhappy man.
He has wanted to be a secret agent all of his life, as long as he can remember, and
he was—waited patiently for his foreign posting.
Then he gets posted to East Germany, and not even to Berlin, to Dresden, which is just
such a backwater, and his job in Dresden isn’t even to spy on the East Germans.
His job in Dresden is actually to try to work remotely to get intelligence from the West.
So he’s working with students in Dresden who might have friends who are students in
Berlin, and his big “get” during his entire time in Dresden is buying a 700-page unclassified
U.S. Army manual.
„The Putin Files: Masha Gessen“
„That’s all he’s managed to do.
Another thing that’s happened to him is that he’s experienced envy like I think
he didn’t expect.
The fact that he recounted it nearly 20 years later, when he was already a wealthy man,
but you know, they got to Dresden, and East Germany was not terribly exciting or glamorous
or wealthy place by any means, especially Dresden, which had been, you know, virtually destroyed in the bombings in 1945. So here is this bland city, and still he sees that East Germans, ordinary East Germans live
better than a KGB officer in the Soviet Union.
They all have their own separate apartments. They have washing machines in their apartments.
They have color televisions. All these things are luxury in the Soviet Union.
His parents still live in a communal apartment.
He’s never had a washing machine in the house, an automatic washing machine, that
sort of thing.
So he’s a very unhappy man.
He’s drinking a lot of beer, getting fat and wiling away his time uselessly.
Meanwhile, back home, things start happening as soon as he left the country.
The country started to transform, which is something that no one could have predicted,
because it felt, you know, that era in Soviet history is known as the era of stagnation.
It just felt like time had stopped.
People were living in sort of horizontal time.
There was no future; there was no past.
Things were always going to be the same.
And suddenly Mikhail Gorbachev, who’s the new head of the Central Committee, the
sort of young person—he’s in his 50s—to have that post in generations, he comes out
and says: “We need change. We need transformation. We need perestroika.”
He says that word, and “glasnost.”
“Perestroika” is restructuring, and “glasnost” is transparency.“
„FRONTLINE PBS | Official
1,41 Mio. Abonnenten
Watch author and journalist Masha Gessen’s candid, full interview on Putin and allegations of Russian interference in the 2016 U.S. election – part of FRONTLINE’s media transparency project for our investigation, “Putin’s Revenge.”“
„But people in the Soviet Union are completely caught up in the excitement of change, because
suddenly things can be said, things can be done.
Things that were unthinkable yesterday are entirely normal today, like having a demonstration
in the street, which first people sort of tried gingerly, and then they see that people
aren’t getting arrested, and then all of a sudden, there are thousands and hundreds of
thousands of people in the streets.
All of that excitement and all of that discussion that’s starting to happen out in public,
like “What should the state be like? Should there be one party, or maybe more than one party?,” That’s a radical idea; all
of that is happening back in the Soviet Union, and Putin has no way of knowing about it.“
„The thing about the Russian secret police and the Soviet secret police is that one never
leaves the secret police.
Once a KGB man, always a KGB man.
It seems that probably Putin’s father maintained some connection to the secret police throughout
his life.
One sign of that is that they had a telephone, and people didn’t have telephones in the
Soviet Union in the 1950s…and never would somebody have a personal phone inside a communal apartment,
which is what Putin’s dad had.“
„MASHA GESSEN – He’s scrappy, very ambitious, very, very greedy.
This is actually an extraordinary trait of his, something that he has talked about.
He doesn’t call it greed, but the behavior he describes is so atypical for a Soviet boy
or a young man that it really stands out.“
„KRIEG IN DER UKRAINE: Im Westen hat man „Zweifel, ob Putin noch der Gleiche ist““
„das wirft die frage auf, ob er vielleicht eine geistige Störung hat, also james clapper, der ehemalige chef
der national intelligence in den usa hat sowas gerade in cnn gesagt, dass er das
Gefühl hat, dass er geistig gestört ist und dass er sozusagen die geistige balance verliert und nicht mehr im vollen Besitz seiner geistigen Kräfte ist, das war zumindest eine Frage, die von sehr vielen Sicherheitsexperten im moment
aufgeworfen wird international … das eigentliche gefährliche in dieser Situation, dass wir nicht wissen, ob der
Herr über die russischen Atomwaffen das größte Arsenal der Welt tatsächlich noch in dem Geisteszustand ist, in einem
Gemütszustand ist in dem er rationale Entscheidungen trifft.“
„ATV English
95.100 Abonnenten
14 killed children during Russian and Belorussian attacks.
Interrogation of captured occupier:
– Did you get any help here?
-Yes, I got good help. No need to come in here.
– Have you seen any Banderites (ed. Ukrainian nationalists) here?
– I haven’t
– Do you feel sorry of coming here?
– Yes, terribly sorry…“
„Nobody needs this war, it is very scary and painful.“
„#Ukraine #Klitschko #Kiew
„Ich werde, wenn nötig, mit meinem Leben bezahlen“ | Vitali Klitschko über den Ukraine-Krieg
142.792 Aufrufe
28.02.2022
BILD
1,09 Mio. Abonnenten
„Jeder hasst Putin“, sagt Vitali Klitschko im Interview. Kiews Bürgermeister glaubte vor einigen Wochen noch, dass er solche Bilder niemals erleben müsse. Die Realität belehrt ihn eines Besseren. „Der Mann ist geiseskrank“, resümiert Klitschko. Er hofft, dass Putin nicht alle Vernichtungswaffen benutzen wird. Denn: „Er hat wahnsinnige Waffen.“
Im Interview mit BILD-Reporter Paul Ronzheiemr spricht Klitschko auch über Putins Propaganda. Denn: „Medien sind eine wichtige Waffe für Putins Diktatur.“
Klitschko habe zudem wenig Zeit, mit seinen Kinder zu sprechen. „Aber sie schreiben mir SMS: ‚Papa, pass auf dich auf dich auf.‘“
„Krieg in der Ukraine: „Das Spiel ist aus!“ | Friedrich Merz
121.599 Aufrufe
27.02.2022“
„Oppositionsführer Friedrich Merz geht Russlands Präsident Wladimir Putin scharf an. Putin habe sich mit dem Angriff auf die Ukraine als „Kriegsverbrecher“ entlarvt, sagt Merz im Deutschen Bundestag.
„Genug ist genug, das Spiel ist aus“, mit Blick auf die gegen Russland verhängten Sanktionen.
Die Nato habe Putin und Russland nie bedroht, das wisse auch der russische Präsident. Die einzige Bedrohung für Putin und sein System sei das eigene Volk, sei das Streben der Menschen nach Freiheit und Demokratie.“
„What is Putin’s Endgame? Garry Kasparov on Russia’s Attack on Ukraine | Amanpour and Company“
„836.168 Aufrufe
25.02.2022“
„Amanpour and Company
253.000 Abonnenten
A vocal critic of the Russian leadership is Garry Kasparov, the chess grandmaster who repeatedly ranked world number one for 20 years before turning his attention to politics. He tells leaders to “help Ukraine fight against the monster you helped create.” Kasparov speaks with Walter Isaacson.
Originally aired on February 24, 2022“
„You lead the democratic opposition to Putin…“
„This war has been prepared in plain sight..because for so many years for two
decades he saw no consequences for his actions, actually for his crimes and I think now it’s time to actually impose the price for what has been done, because it is the only way to prevent him from moving even further. I believe
that the free world still has resources to stop putin at this point, because what we
know from history uh from uh the 20th century and also from vladimir Putin’s recent a recent history that every day of delay uh of our response to a
brutal dictator simply is pushing the price to payr for his actions are higher and
higher. (Garry Kasparov)“
„Cut russia russia from energy sector, russian gas and oil export and alsoimmediately cut russia from all financial markets..“
„Let’s stop this nonsense, Putin is an absolute dictator, he doesn’t care about public
opinion, he doesn’t care about a free press, so it’s one man and his gang that are making all the decisions and you have to hurt them uh where it hurts. (Garry Kasparov)(Chess Grandmaster)“
„You say that Putin is at the center of a worldwide assault on political liberty.“
„I think you know just on the bottom of that it is Putin’s belief that uh dictators, they
are entitled to do whatever they want in their own countries, but also they can
use force as the main argument in international relations.Putin’s attack
on Ukraine is not attack on Ukraine only, it is an attack on the world security
infrastructure, because he thinks it’s standing on the way of him or other
fellow dictators to rule the world the way they want.“
„Life imitates Chess.“
„Dictators never ask why, it’s always why not and after so many years of paying no
price for his actions, he believes now that he can get away with that, because the free world showed nothing but weakness.“
„He’s quite cynical and and the fact is that he succeeded in buying
western politicians of a top of the highest caliber like Gerhard Schroeder and many others so prove to him that it’s all about a price to pay.“
„..and of course the annexation of crimea uh was was
another test that the free world failed um
and then of course Trump, I mean donald Trump was was a gift for Putin… Trump’s policies
weakened european solidarity and america european american solidarity
even even further what about.“
„They believe in authoritarianism as a way to solve problems and that´s why the showed sympathies to nazis in germany in in the late 30s and early 40s
and now they they have been they they’re not they’re not shy demonstrating their
sympathies to to Putin and his criminal regime.“
„I believe that the endgame will be the same as as before, dictators will lose,
it’s not about the uh the outcome it’s about the price we’ll pay the price.
Ukrainians will pay and maybe other nations and of course the free world uh,
because we’re now, we’re now seeing the end of the world that we used to live in…and we need to consider how we’re going to move uh forward, because United Nations now is paralyzed, this institution proved to be totally incapable of of addressing the issues that that became paramount in the modern world, so I think putin regime
will collapse uh but again it’s like an agony of a dinosaur,
and the agony of a dinosaur could be very damaging for those who are
nearby and um again it depends on our resolute actions now uh whether the price will will will keep coming up or we can limit it at at this horrendous cost today.“